The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. As the 2022 primaries begin in earnest and potential presidential candidates look ahead to 2024, the fight over the future of the political right is underway. The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. 10 Wednesday AM Reads. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. Election Day in Georgia is just a week away, so the crew shook off their turkey hangover to talk about what to expect in Georgias second Senate runoff in two years. The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. So, the usual. Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. No products in the cart. Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. They also preview next week's mayoral election in Chicago and ask whether a new poll of Arizona's 2024 Senate race is actually telling us anything useful. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App FiveThirtyEight Politics https://feeds.megaphone.fm/ESP8794877317 Follow Share 13.5k Followers 200 Episodes Category: Politics Last Update: 2023-02-21 Claim Ownership Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? MANAGER'S SALARY. They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. Galen Druke is the host and producer of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. police- settlements. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. Local news is disappearing across the country. Since January 2021, eleven states have enacted laws that limit how teachers can talk about race and racism in schools and close to 200 bills have been introduced in 40 states. As Emanuel Macron has occupied the middle of the political spectrum in France, with a focus on cooperation among European nations, the opposition parties have moved toward a nationalist, populist agenda. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what he's learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. It's a busy week! The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. They also ask whether a sentiment analysis suggesting that the press is more negative on Biden than it was on President Trump is a "good or bad use of data.". In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. What do we know, how confidently do we know it and what do we know we dont know? FT Podcasts FT Weekend podcast 31 min listen Best of: Chef Mashama Bailey on reclaiming African-American food The award-winning chef explains her creative process 2 hours ago FT News Briefing. Transcripts by Erin Wade. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling. The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. This is the final episode. podcast transcripts and podcast transcription services. It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. The crew discusses how the Supreme Court may change once Breyer a more moderate Justice among the Liberals retires. Listeners wanted to know what to make of the NYC mayoral race, whether primary races tell us anything about the midterm elections, what voting system is the best, the likelihood of filibuster reform and, of course, whether or not hot dogs can be considered sandwiches. President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative Revolutionaries Who Remade American Politics in the 1990s.". FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. The crew asks whether Biden's approval rating could be boosted by the American Rescue Plan and how popular he'd have to be to avoid a backlash at the midterms. Preview of Spotify. The crew debates whether a poll asking Americans which animals they could take on is a fight is a "good or bad use of polling." They also talk about how the California recall election is shaping up after a recent poll showed increased support for recalling current Governor Gavin Newsom. But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. The crew discusses the Senate passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, new polling on how Americans think about crime and gun violence, and how state-level debates over abortion bans are playing out. In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states. The report relies on advanced climate modeling to illustrate where global warming is headed. By May 21, 2021 0 . They also discuss the politics of reparations after a Democratic proposal in the House to study reparations for slavery was voted out of committee for the first time since it was introduced in Congress in 1989. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. File Upload. How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. gold rush supreme second chance winners. . Technology and politics reporter Kaleigh Rogers discusses the influence of conspiracy theories on the events that led to the Jan. 6th riot, why people believe in conspiracy theories in the first place, and what it means for the future of American politics. The recall effort ultimately failed by a sizable margin. They also rank the Senate races that will be most important in determining which party controls the Senate next year. And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. Democrats overperformed in two special elections on Tuesday, including a win in New York's 19th district, which is four points more Republican than the national partisan lean, according to FiveThirtyEights metric. It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. They also consider the causes of hyperinflation, as Democrats and Republicans blame different culprits for the highest rate of inflation in 40 years. Americans' political views oftentimes don't align neatly with a single party, but instead draw on both conservative and liberal positions. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. They also consider Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema's motivations for registering as an independent and look at the latest polling on a potential presidential primary matchup between Florida Gov. The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. They also review Democrats agenda for the current lame duck session in Congress and hold their first post-midterm 2024 Democratic primary draft. Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. Tester faces a tough bid, but don't sleep on Brown being the weaker of the two. They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." Reporter Greg Bluestein explains how it happened in his new book, Flipped: How Georgia Turned Purple and Broke the Monopoly on Republican Power, and discusses with Galen what it means for 2022 and beyond. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted. - In her first-ever diary entry, recorded eight days after President John F. Kennedy is assassinated, Lady Bird presents a dramatic, cinematically detailed moment-by-moment account of those terrible hours in Dallas, and the days that follow. FiveThirtyEight Politics News Latest Transcripts How To Make Polls Better 240 views about 2 years ago 01:12:44 Galen Druke speaks with two A+ rated pollsters, J. Ann Selzer and Patrick Murray, about how they view the challenges of polling and what can be done about them. A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. Listen at itun.es/i67M5bV. The crew discusses the races to watch in Tuesday night's primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. It's easy. FiveThirtyEight - YouTube Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science and life. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what hes learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. Happy holidays! Since Jacksons confirmation is the expected outcome, the hearings similar to past ones were more about politics. The crew discusses the political fallout from the Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. Whereas Tester . The data behind that evolution is striking. The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. The crew hosts its first-ever 2024 Republican primary draft (they plan to follow up next week with a 2024 Democratic primary draft). The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. FiveThirtyEight Politics 295 views 25 Feb 2021 Transcribe your podcast [00:00:06] Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics podcast. They also address concerns that the 2020 Census resulted in an undercount of Latinos. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. Galen speaks with him. Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. Dive in and Share your insights! Today those numbers have flipped. All. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? The crew debates which states should vote first in the presidential primaries if the Iowa caucuses were to go away. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. Atlantic writer Emma Green joins to talk about her recent article, "The Liberals Who Can't Quit Lockdown.". They also check in on the upcoming Virginia governors race and discuss a FiveThirtyEight report about how Congress may have inadvertently legalized THC -- the main psychoactive compound in marijuana. Feb. 28GLASTONBURY When Jonathan K. Luiz starts work as town manager March 31, he will be making $190,000 per year. Feb. 25, 2021. info. Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. They also previewed and caught up on some elections, including Alaskas special election to replace longtime Alaska congressman Don Young that took place this past weekend. FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. They also consider whether a poll that asks Americans if they think the U.S. is currently in a recession is a "good or bad use of polling.". They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. As Congress considers legislation that would decriminalize marijuana and end the sentencing disparity for crack and cocaine offenses, Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight contributor Lester Black about what Americans think should be done about drugs and how politicians are responding. They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 In this installment, civil and environmental engineer Daniel Cohan joins FiveThirtyEight's Sarah Frostenson, Maggie Koerth and Galen Druke to discuss why the blackouts occurred, where responsibility lies and how politics responds to these kinds of crises. Make sure you select the language your Podcast episode is recorded in when uploading your audio. In her new book How Civil Wars Start And How To Stop Them, Barbara F Walter writes we are now closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. 01:00 PM. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. LS 81 Global Rank TOP 0.01% ABOUT THIS PODCAST Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. Instagram did not return a 200. Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have The crew discusses how hurricanes shape political perceptions, whether 52 Democrats senators would be all that different from 50 and how the Electoral Count Reform Act could prevent future attempts to meddle with American elections. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, Today, we wanted to share the first episode of the ABC News podcast series, "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson," which uncovers the former first lady's surprisingly powerful role in the Johnson presidency and includes history-making revelations about Lyndon B. Johnsons time in office. They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. In this installment, the crew plays a game of midterm trivia and analyzes the press coverage surrounding the latest decline in life expectancy. Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. They consider how much preelection polling can tell us about the state of the country and what other sources we might rely on. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all.
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